Zobgy Says…
John Zogby runs a daily poll on the Presidential election, together with C-SPAN and Reuters. He plans to run this for the last 4 weeks before the election, and has been posting the daily results on his website for the last week (see picture). It looks like there is some volatility in the spread, but blue has remained steadily above red. I wonder if there is an exchange where the individual indexes, or the spread can be traded – and whether the current diverging trend will remain, or if they will flatten, or if they will reverse direction. If they reverse direction, will there be enough time for the lines to cross?
